UCF
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 87.5372Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 903 H Bethune-Cookman 73- 8 912 A Pittsburgh ( 6- 3, 88.7) 7- 12 919 H Georgia St ( 4- 4, 79.3) 44- 30 926 H TCU ( 4- 4, 87.3) 21- 13 1003 A Houston ( 6- 2, 95.5) 17- 27 1010 A Oklahoma St ( 5- 3, 92.1) 28- 42 1024 H BYU ( 7- 1, 94.8) 39- 31 1030 H Baylor ( 5- 3, 90.4) 9- 41 1107 A Kansas ( 2- 6, 77.6) 1114 H Arizona St ( 4- 4, 83.3) 1120 H Iowa State ( 4- 4, 86.2) 1128 A Colorado ( 3- 5, 81.9)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
912 A Pittsburgh 7-12 -5 -4 -0.62
919 H Georgia St 44-30 14 11 + 2.58
926 H TCU 21-13 8 3 ++ 4.59
1003 A Houston 17-27 -10 -11 1.15
1010 A Oklahoma St 28-42 -14 -8 --- -6.19
1024 H BYU 39-31 8 -4 +++ 12.07
1030 H Baylor 9-41 -32 0 --- -15.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 A Oklahoma St 28-42 -14 -8 --- -6.19 1030 H Baylor 9-41 -32 0 --- -15.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1024 H BYU 39-31 8 -4 +++ 12.07 926 H TCU 21-13 8 3 ++ 4.59 919 H Georgia St 44-30 14 11 + 2.58 |
UCF Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | UCF | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | UCF | |
| California | UCF | UCF | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | UCF | UCF | ||
| Georgia Tech | UCF | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Miami | |
| No. Carolina | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | No. Carolina | |
| NC State | UCF | UCF | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | UCF | UCF | ||
| Stanford | UCF | UCF | ||
| Syracuse | UCF | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Virginia | UCF | UCF | ||
| Va. Tech | UCF | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | UCF | UCF | ||
| Charlotte | UCF | UCF | ||
| Ea. Carolina | UCF | UCF | ||
| Fl. Atlantic | UCF | UCF | ||
| Memphis | UCF | UCF | ||
| Navy | UCF | UCF | ||
| No. Texas | UCF | UCF | ||
| Rice | UCF | UCF | ||
| So. Florida | UCF | UCF | ||
| Temple | UCF | UCF | ||
| Tulane | UCF | UCF | ||
| Tulsa | UCF | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | UCF | |
| UAB | UCF | UCF | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | UCF | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | UCF | |
| BYU | UCF | UCF | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | UCF | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | UCF | |
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa State | UCF | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | UCF | |
| Kansas | UCF | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | UCF | |
| Kansas St | UCF | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | UCF | UCF | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| Utah | Utah | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Utah | |
| We. Virginia | UCF | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | UCF | |
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | UCF | UCF | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | UCF | UCF | ||
| Minnesota | UCF | UCF | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oregon | |
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Purdue | UCF | UCF | ||
| Rutgers | UCF | UCF | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Int | UCF | UCF | ||
| J'ville St | J'ville St | J'ville St | ||
| Kennesaw St | UCF | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| La. Tech | UCF | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Mid. Tenn. | UCF | UCF | ||
| N. Mexico St | UCF | UCF | ||
| Sam Houston | UCF | UCF | ||
| UTEP | UCF | UCF | ||
| We. Kentucky | UCF | UCF | ||
| Mass. | UCF | UCF | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | UCF | UCF | ||
| Akron | UCF | UCF | ||
| Ball State | UCF | UCF | ||
| Bowl'g Green | UCF | UCF | ||
| Buffalo | UCF | UCF | ||
| Ce. Michigan | UCF | UCF | ||
| Ea. Michigan | UCF | UCF | ||
| Kent St | UCF | UCF | ||
| Miami (OH) | UCF | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| No. Illinois | UCF | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Ohio | UCF | UCF | ||
| Toledo | UCF | UCF | ||
| We. Michigan | UCF | UCF | ||
| Air Force | UCF | UCF | ||
| Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | ||
| Colorado St | UCF | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawai'i | UCF | UCF | ||
| Nevada | UCF | UCF | ||
| New Mexico | UCF | UCF | ||
| San Diego St | UCF | UCF | ||
| San Jose St | UCF | UCF | ||
| UNLV | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah St | UCF | UCF | ||
| Wyoming | UCF | UCF | ||
| Oregon St | UCF | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Wash. St | UCF | UCF | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | UCF | UCF | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss. St | Miss. St | Miss. St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So. Carolina | So. Carolina | So. Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | UCF | UCF | ||
| App State | UCF | UCF | ||
| Arkansas St | UCF | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | UCF | |
| Coastal Car. | UCF | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UCF | |
| Georgia So. | UCF | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Georgia St | UCF | UCF | ||
| J. Madison | J. Madison | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | J. Madison | |
| Louisiana | UCF | UCF | ||
| Marshall | UCF | UCF | ||
| Old Dominion | UCF | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| So. Miss | UCF | UCF | ||
| So. Alabama | UCF | UCF | ||
| Texas St. | Texas St. | Texas St. | ||
| Troy | UCF | UCF | ||
| UL Monroe | UCF | UCF | ||
| Delaware | UCF | UCF | ||
| Missouri St | UCF | UCF |
PowerWise = 86
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.15
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A Pittsburgh ( 6- 3, 88.7) 7-12 -11.18 22.07 3.20 1.16 -4.64
1 H Georgia St ( 4- 4, 79.3) 44-30 -20.59 12.65 -3.20 1.16 22.01
1 H TCU ( 4- 4, 87.3) 21-13 -12.58 20.66 -3.20 1.16 40.65
1 A Houston ( 6- 2, 95.5) 17-27 -4.40 28.84 3.20 1.16 -0.70
1 A Oklahoma St ( 5- 3, 92.1) 28-42 -7.75 25.49 3.20 1.16 -2.65
1 H BYU ( 7- 1, 94.8) 39-31 -5.09 28.15 -3.20 1.16 58.08
1 H Baylor ( 5- 3, 90.4) 9-41 -9.51 23.73 -3.20 1.16 -7.40
------
105.35
|
winning pts = 120.7406 losing points = -15.3926
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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